The Singapore University of technology and design, said that his predictions about the timing of the completion of the pandemic coronavirus in different countries is no longer valid due to rapidly changing situation. Previously, scientists predicted that Russia’s epidemic will end in June, then the deadline moved to the end of August and September.
On the University website, it was reported that all forecasts should be taken with caution, as they are uncertain in nature. “Excessive optimism based on some predictions, is dangerous because it can weaken our discipline and cause the spread of the virus,” said the University.
Previous predictions about the timing of the end of the pandemic is no longer valid, because the situation in the real world is changing rapidly. The researchers refused from liability and advised readers to watch for the schedules of their colleagues from other universities and countries.
Method Singaporean scientists was based on SIR model mathematical models of infection that describes the dynamics of susceptible, infected and recovered. It included the population, the coefficient of transmissibility, daily growth. It was reported that the pandemic in Russia could be completed in August 2020, and in the United States only by September.