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Scientists Snezhinsk nuclear center (VNIITF) was able to simulate the development of the pandemic worldwide. They increased the accuracy of previous forecasts.
In the world for predictions of the spread of viral diseases are most often used mathematical model of SEIRD. However, scientists of the nuclear centre in Snezhinsk she seemed insufficiently accurate in the case of the coronavirus. They developed their model. Added more parameters for analysis, thereby greatly increasing the accuracy of forecasts, — quotes TASS.
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Experts forecast consists of two variables — the rate of infection and speed recovery.
VNIITF model showed a good predictive quality it very accurately predicted the epidemic in new York — said in the publication.
As informed NEWS.ru the Governor of the Moscow region Andrei Vorobyov said that the mortality rate from coronavirus infection in the region is expected in may higher than in April of this year.
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