Four years ago, I filed a late-night, shell-shocked column about Donald Trump’s stunning triumph over Hillary Clinton. Its theme was the need for humility and contrition on the part of the country’s pollsters and pundits. Election night 2020 didn’t quite equal the jolt of 2016. But it is yet again an occasion to take stock of how little any of us knows and can master uncertainty.
It was always possible, even somewhat likely, that the counting would go on for days. But it was also possible that Joe Biden would win by a big enough margin that it wouldn’t be necessary.