Timberwolves vs. Raptors prediction: Take the underdog

The Toronto Raptors made simple work of the Minnesota Timberwolves when these groups met again in February with a 103-91 victory. Things may very well be rather a lot completely different on Wednesday, nevertheless, with each groups battling for playoff seeding and trying to keep away from the play-in match. 

When they met again in February, the Timberwolves had been on the tail finish of a back-to-back and enjoying their third recreation in 4 nights. The Raptors had been well-rested, and so it’s no shock they held Minnesota to simply 91 factors on 0.93 factors per possession. The Wolves shot simply 39 p.c from the discipline and 23.8 p.c from 3, but nonetheless held a lead getting into the fourth quarter earlier than melting down in the closing 12 minutes.

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I feel the Wolves are the higher crew and my mannequin displays that. I make this recreation a decide ’em, completely disagreeing with the market that has the Raptors pegged as 2.5-point favorites. Outside of the Boston Celtics, the Timberwolves are the hottest crew in the league since the All-Star break, going 12-5 with Net Rating of 9.2 behind an Offensive Rating of 120.4 and the Defensive Rating of 111.1. 

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Though the Raptors have been in stable kind profitable three straight towards the Cavaliers, Pacers and a depleted Celtics crew which rested its starters, it is a enormous step up in competitors.

Karl-Anthony Towns ought to feast on a Raptors protection that’s twenty second in field-goal proportion at the rim (66.1) and I’m unsure the Raptors can sustain with this offense general. They are simply twenty seventh in half-court factors per 100 possessions (91.2) and are dealing with a Wolves protection that has the Tenth-best Defensive Rating in the half courtroom (93.6).  

In addition, the Raptors are likely to generate a lot of their offense in transition, rating sixth in factors per 100 possessions (3.5) on the break, however the Wolves aren’t far behind as they’re Tenth at 2.4. 

The performs: Timberwolves +2.5 and moneyline.

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