WGC Dell Match Play best bets: Sergio Garcia vs. Collin Morikawa prediction

What a day we had within the opening spherical at Austin Country Club for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play!

Louis Oosthuizen made six birdies….and misplaced. Jordan Spieth claimed victory down after 9 holes and his pal Justin Thomas was upset by Luke List as a close to +200 underdog.

Luckily, each our matchup bets for day one – Abraham Ancer and Dustin Johnson – emerged victoriously. Now, we attempt to proceed that constructive momentum into the second day as I current one other pair of performs for the second stage of round-robin play.

All odds come courtesy of BetMGM and are reflective on the time of writing.

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Sergio Garcia Tie, No Bet (+105) vs. Collin Morikawa

I don’t need to totally say opponent Robert MacIntyre handed Morikawa his 2&1 victory on a silver platter, however he got here awfully shut.

The manner the Scotsman was taking part in, Morikawa ought to have been lounging within the clubhouse by gap 12. Half of his six-hole victories got here by a rating of par, together with as soon as on a par 5. MacIntyre was +3 by 12 holes and solely carded two birdies Wednesday.

On the flip-side, all however two of Garcia’s six-hole victories got here through birdie or higher, together with an eagle on the par-5 twelfth gap. He additionally recorded solely a single bogey by 15 holes of play.


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We know Sergio is a large fan of this course – he reached the knockout spherical final 12 months AND is a freaking member at Austin Country Club. That home-course benefit ought to come in useful in opposition to Morikawa, who ranked out 19 spots decrease than Garcia in my pre-tournament mannequin.

Plus, there’s a obtrusive discrepancy between these two gamers within the Birdies or Better Gained metric in my mannequin. Entering the match, Garcia ranked third within the subject in that class, whereas Morikawa emerged an unimpressive forty second within the subject.

Unless Sergio magically loses his contact at Austin Country Club, I’d personally have him as the favourite on this match. Because he’s in plus-money, I’ve no selection however to fireside on the Masters winner.

WGC-Dell best bets
Abraham Ancer takes a shot
AP

Abraham Ancer Tie, No Bet (-125) vs. Brian Harman

Let’s all hop aboard the “back Abe Ancer” prepare once more we could?

These two gamers went in reverse instructions on opening day and I’m frankly shocked Ancer isn’t an even bigger favourite. The Mexico worldwide shot a six-under 65 Wednesday whereas Harman did hand opponent Webb Simpson his victory by capturing a two-over 73 whereas posting solely two birdies.

I acknowledge there’s constructive course historical past available with each gamers right here, however Ancer additionally arrives with many benefits primarily based on my pre-tournament mannequin. He’s third in SG: method to Harman’s thirty first, first in SG: tee-to-green in opposition to Harman’s thirty first, and second in Good Drives Gained to Harman’s twenty sixth.

While Harman introduced a pre-tournament benefit in SG: placing, Ancer put my considerations in that class to relaxation along with his efficiency Wednesday.

Furthermore, Ancer has confirmed a Pete Dye design-whisperer in his previous couple of outings. He’s gained strokes on the sector in 10 straight occasions at Dye designs, together with finally 12 months’s Match Play. Overall, Ancer has received 5 of his final seven matches at Austin Country Club, so I consider he’s value one other comply with tomorrow.

My projections make Ancer near -140, so I’m joyful to again him once more at -125.

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